Technical Analysis of Indian Equities by Nooresh

Dow Jones and Hang Seng – Can they see a 10% jump in next few months!!

The last update i had made on Global Indices was a few weeks back on September 17 - http://www.nooreshtech.co.in/2010/09/global-indices-dow-jones-ftse-cac-dax-and-hang-seng-on-verge-of-breakouts-did-sensex-jump-the-gun.html

Since then Dow Jones has moved from 10500 to 11200 the target seen.

Hang Seng has moved from 21.8k to 23.8k giving a clean jump of 2000 points.

Also all the other Global Indices have given a considerably nice upmove.

But the current chart formation suggests we may see a big move in coming months the same way as i expect Sensex to do 22.5k after the current correction.

Although what needs to be seen is whether we see a minor correction in global indices before they start the next big move ! which could be secular.

Dow Jones:

In my major update on Dow Jones had mentioned about 11200-11300 being the 61.8% fibonacci retracement and the index should pause and top out around that zone.

Dow then corrected to 9600 levels with a butter finger etc.

http://www.nooreshtech.co.in/2010/04/dow-jones-should-pause-at-11200-crude-slipping-from-trendline-resistance.html

Currently the formation is more like a cup and handle which ideally gives a target of 13k also. But one could expect after crossing 11300 Dow should do a target of 12200 which is the next fibonacci retracement.

Although dips to 10700-10750 is possible before the next big move.

Will have a look on it when it crosses 11300 or comes down to test 10700.

Dow12k

Hang Seng:

Before looking into the current scenario one can have a look into the previous chart which suggested a breakout at 21.8k

http://www.nooreshtech.co.in/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/HangSeng.png

Currently the index has crossed the year highs with ease which clearly suggests a test of 26500 over the next few month. A retest of the last high breakout around 23k is possible.

Yet again it looks like a cup and handle which gives a target of 27k.

Also here the next fibonacci retracement comes at 26k-26.5k.

HangSeng26k

Bottomline:

All the things point to a possible major upmove in global indices namely - Hang seng, Sensex, Dow Jones which matter to us but the next few weeks could be tricky as ideally all of them need a little dip before they start the long journey which could be secular in nature.

We will review the indices as and when

Sensex comes closer to 19600/19000 or crosses 21000

Dow Jones comes closer to 10700 or crosses 11300

Hang Seng if comes near to 23000.

All in all its a time to look out for buying opportunities on major declines with a good risk-reward or wait for a confirmation of crossover above recent highs. Investors should continue to remain invested and ride !

There is one thing which can be definitely said is the next few months and year to come is going to be much more exciting with lots of trading and investing opportunities.

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Regards,

Nooresh

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Article by Nooresh Merani

Nooresh has written 2571 articles.

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{ 4 comments… add one }
  • xyz October 21, 2010, 16:00

    Did u had a look at ur earlier invest. Picks – rishi laser , apollo hosp. , msp steel , amar remedies , indo rama and many more .. All of them have doubled in 3-6 mnths time … When are u coming out with the new list of investments … Post something on penny stocks worth investing – HRHR..

    Reply
    • nooresh October 21, 2010, 17:54

      Hi Xyz,

      Amar and indo rama over performed. Rishi and apollo and many others slowly gaining. Though one needs to keep patience.

      Well i dont track penny stocks as such but i write quite a lot of stuff against it

      Reply
  • Vivek October 22, 2010, 00:23

    Hi Nooresh,
    I have some queries on Andrew yule company and Rico auto. Are both still hold or not? Andrew is looking good at this price to me. And what you suggest about south indian bank?

    Vivek

    Reply
    • nooresh October 22, 2010, 01:15

      Hi Vivek,
      Rico Auto took an exit at nominal loss.
      Andrew Yule is still a buy on dips but will test patience. South India Bank buy on declines can see a spike soon

      Reply

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