5 Long Term Fundamental Picks – Analyse India Report – Rs 4000 Early Bird.

We are pleased to announce the first Fundamental Research Reports under our Research Services.

We maintain our view that over the next 6-24 months  Select Smallcaps/Midcaps to do well.

Can read this post - Nifty at 15000 – Stop looking at March 2020 lows. Time for Broader Markets to Outperform ?

5 Long Term Fundamental Smallcap & Midcap Picks  - Analyse India 

  • 5 Stock Research Reports
  • Detailed Research Report on Companies with a holding view of 6 months to 2 years.
  • No Sectoral Preference.
  • Smallcap & Midcap Ideas.
  • The 5 stock Reports would be sent over the next 2 weeks.
  • The Reports will be sent via E-mail.

Pricing - Pre-Book for Rs 4000 till 11th March. Price Increases to Rs 5000 after 11th March.

https://www.instamojo.com/noooreshtech/5-long-term-fundamental-picks-analyse-india/ 

For any queries mail to nooreshtech@analyseindia.com or Whatsapp 7977801488 ( Please save this contact no for receiving our whatsapp)

Performance of our Last Report - Sensex Post 50000 Boom or Doom 

( We have a Sectoral Basket Buy  for Long Term also in the above note. )

NAV Prop Up to ETF selling. Bharti Airtel – Contrarian Bounce ?

There was a time many years back when we would see a jump up in last 30 minutes of a Quarter End or Year End in Nifty or in certain illiquid stocks with high institutional holding. This was to prop up the NAV.

The current structure of the market has changed to automated ETF Flows and we are now starting to see high volumes in last 30 mins on the last day of the month.

Will keep this a small post with a few charts.

 

FII Figures

-8300 cr on 26th Feb

-5930 Cr on 29th Jan

+7700 cr on 27th Nov

-3395 cr on 31st Aug

Lets look at the price action in last 30 mins on last 2 instances.

Nifty - A 100 point down tick in 3-5 mins and 200 points in last 20-30 mins on 29th Jan and 26th Feb 

29th Jan 2020. - 1 day before budget 

100-200 points down between 3-3.05 pm.

200 points from 3-3.30 pm.

26th Feb 2020 - 

Down 80-100 points in 3 mins after 3 pm.

Down 200 points in last 20-30 mins.

 

What is interesting is - Not a similar downtick in any of the global indices in those 30 mins !!. That confirms its a ETF trade.

 

One interesting ETF trade which has created huge volatility - Bharti Airtel.

A counter party for most MSCI rejig is Integrated Core Strategies ( ASIA ) PTE Ltd.

Bharti Airtel - A Contrarian Bounce and Breakout? 

 

Bharti Airtel - Chart 

 

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DISCLOSURE Nooresh Merani

SEBI Registration disclosure – Research Analyst INH000008075   Investment Adviser ( INA000002991)

Financial Interest:
Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts may have exposure in the securities mentioned in the above report/article.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts does not have any financial interest/beneficial ownership of more than 1% in the company covered by Analyst.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts have not received any compensation from the company/third party covered in the above report/article ever.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts has not served as an officer, director or employee of company covered in the report/article and has not been engaged in market making activity of the company covered in the report/article.

The views expressed are based solely on information available publicly and believed to be true. Investors are advised to independently evaluate the market conditions/risks involved before making any investment decision

Also read the detailed disclaimer - http://www.nooreshtech.co.in/disclaimer

 

PSU Heavyweight Charts- SBI, Coal India, Gail, Ongc, Powergrid, Ntpc, Hpcl, Bpcl.

A lot of large PSU names are interestingly placed with multiple attempts at their resistances.

Such formations can eventually lead to structural uptrends.

Continue to stick to the positive view on PSUs.

Do read this older article in November.

Nifty up But Stocks are Down !!. Time for Stocks to Catch Up in coming years.

Snippet from the post.

Things to Note 

  • Covered only the large PSU heavyweights. Even smaller ones are shaping up well.
  • Do look at dividend adjustments to time breakouts.

SBI - Finally above the 350-370 mark after many attempts in last 10 years. 

 

Coal India - Multiple attempts at 150-152. 

GAIL India - Back above covid prices. Stronger Momentum if it can cross 145. 

ONGC - Range of 90-107. Setting up for a breakout. 

Powergrid - All time highs. 

NTPC - A triangle breakout on cards. Much stronger move above 105. 

HPCL - Multiple attempts at 233-235. 

BPCL - Multiple attempts at 430 in last 6 months. ex div of 16 rs. 

 

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Quarterly Report Payment Link - https://imjo.in/Mzmtdt

For Annual Subscription – Insider Trading Quarterly Report  - https://imjo.in/JtdFVs

 

 

DISCLOSURE Nooresh Merani

SEBI Registration disclosure – Research Analyst INH000008075   Investment Adviser ( INA000002991)

Financial Interest:
Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts may have exposure in the securities mentioned in the above report/article.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts does not have any financial interest/beneficial ownership of more than 1% in the company covered by Analyst.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts have not received any compensation from the company/third party covered in the above report/article ever.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts has not served as an officer, director or employee of company covered in the report/article and has not been engaged in market making activity of the company covered in the report/article.

The views expressed are based solely on information available publicly and believed to be true. Investors are advised to independently evaluate the market conditions/risks involved before making any investment decision

Also read the detailed disclaimer - http://www.nooreshtech.co.in/disclaimer

Nifty at 15000 – Stop looking at March 2020 lows. Time for Broader Markets to Outperform ?

Nifty has crossed 15000 + and is now at 15300.

Every time I speak to an investor friend about an interesting Stock Idea the first reaction from most is the Stock is up quite a lot from March 2020 lows.

Can u stay anchored to the March 2020 situation forever. Have you behaved the same way in your daily life as you did in March 2020 ?

So it's time to move on and look at What Next rather than What Was.

There are different ways one can anchor to the Index.

  1. Nifty is up 100% from the lows of 7500.
  2. Nifty is up 20-25% from Pre-Covid prices and last major highs.
  3. Nifty is up 140-150% from highs of 2008. ( Still at 7-8% Cagr )
  4. Nifty is up 6-7 times from lows of 2008.  ( Still at 16-17% Cagr. Best possible timing of the last 15 years. )
  5. Nifty is up 3 times from the lows of 2013. ( Still at 16-17% cagr on another best possible fit.)

If you would have anchored yourself at the March 2020 lows it would have been very difficult to allocate money to equities all through the run and will remain in the future.

Anchoring to the lows of March 2020 or February 2016  or August 2013 or Oct 2008 is what stops most of us from deploying money into equities during the upswing.

We need to remember the bottom prices were there for a few weeks at max and you would have not got a Money Shower to Go all in.

Interesting long term chart to look at. ( made it on Sensex 50k touch) 

Keep an open mind and keep looking for Interesting Stocks, Breakouts, Sector Rotations.

We did come out with our Structural Bullish View Report before the Budget named - Sensex Post 50000 Boom or Doom.

A slide from it.

There will be corrections and opportunities going forward as well. So continue to prepare and research looking at the situation NOW.

Now a quick technical take on the Nifty.

Nifty - Momentum Begets Momentum. ( Divergences in a Bull Market can last for much longer than you can remain Short and pay up .  )  

  • The Higher Top and Higher Bottom Continues.
  • Extreme short-term price point to watch for a reversal would be 14980.
  • The last 4 days range was 200-250 points so the next possible target could be 15500.
  • Ride but do not be Over-leveraged.
  • Evenitis Shortis  ( averaging a losing position in hope of getting an even price to exit. It's more dangerous in Shortis).

What Next ? 

The BSE Smallcap/Nifty Chart suggests that going forward Smallcaps could do better than the Nifty and selective moves could continue even with Nifty getting into a Range or a Consolidation just like in 2009-2010 or 2014-2017.

Can look at some more charts of BSE Midcap and Nifty 500 in the following article -

https://www.timesnownews.com/business-economy/markets/article/broader-market-outperformance-on-the-horizon/720402

 

Conclusion 

  • Time to be Stock Specific and watch for New Sector Rotations.
  • MicroCaps,Smallcaps, Midcaps - Time to be selective here and maybe avoid largecaps for the short term.

Research Service 

Technical Traders Club 

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Breakout Charts – Exide Inds,, Lupin, Glenmark Pharma, JK Lakshmi Cements, HPCL.

Exide Inds - Breakout done above 205-208. Very Good Volumes.

Disclosure - Recommended in Technical Traders Club 

 

Lupin - 1100-1110 a Resistance zone to watch for a breakout.

Glenmark Pharma - In a tight range ever since the Favipiravir jump  . 

So what breaks 450-470 or 520-540.

Jk Lakshmi Cements - Another Cement near a breakout. We looked at Birla Corp and Dalmia Bharat in previous post.

HPCL - Multiple attempts at 235-238

 

 

Research Service 

Technical Traders Club 

Check Link for full details

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Subscription Link 

Half Yearly =           Rs 15340. ( Including GST ) 

Annual  =           Rs 25960 ( Including GST ) 

 

Insider Trading Subscription Link

Quarterly Report Payment Link - https://imjo.in/Mzmtdt

For Annual Subscription – Insider Trading Quarterly Report  - https://imjo.in/JtdFVs

DISCLOSURE Nooresh Merani

SEBI Registration disclosure – Research Analyst INH000008075   Investment Adviser ( INA000002991)

Financial Interest:
Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts may have exposure in the securities mentioned in the above report/article.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts does not have any financial interest/beneficial ownership of more than 1% in the company covered by Analyst.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts have not received any compensation from the company/third party covered in the above report/article ever.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts has not served as an officer, director or employee of company covered in the report/article and has not been engaged in market making activity of the company covered in the report/article.

The views expressed are based solely on information available publicly and believed to be true. Investors are advised to independently evaluate the market conditions/risks involved before making any investment decision

Also read the detailed disclaimer - http://www.nooreshtech.co.in/disclaimer

Insider Trading Report Rs 1999 for a Year. Price Increases from 1st April 2021.

Do checkout this Youtube Video too on the topic - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bt5wtR4AJuA

Insider Trading Quarterly Report  - Rs 699 for a Quarter & 1999 for a Year.

( We will be increasing the Subscription Price from 1st April 2021)

What do you Get ?

1) A Quarterly Report

Every quarter we will send out a report which contains a selected list of companies which have seen good insider buying in the current quarter as well as in previous quarters.

Any interesting observations for a stock will be highlighted. A quick technical chart analysis if the stock is showing some major trend change or momentum setup.

Sample Reports

1) Quarterly Report September

2) Fortnightly/Monthly Report –Nov 1st to Dec 10 2020. 

password – analyseindia

We may also send some quick short Stock Story in a few names. 2-5 in a quarter.

Sample Stock Story Reports.

1) KRBL Limited – Lucky and Unlucky

2) Unichem Labs – All it takes is a Little Buying.

3) Ashapura Minechem – Phoenix or a Frog ?

2) Every Fortnight/Month we will be updating the interesting Insider Buying Actions and sending it. Excel Sheet will also be sent fortnightly/quarterly also.

The stocks are not buy/sell recommendations but companies which deserved to be research. So please do your own research and due diligence.

Its a report to help you in Company Ideas to research or keep on radar.

Source of data – www.bseindia.com

Subscription Link

Quarterly Report Payment Link - https://imjo.in/Mzmtdt

For Annual Subscription – Insider Trading Quarterly Report  - https://imjo.in/JtdFVs

After payment, we will send the report in a few hours. If any issues mail us on nooreshtech@analyseindia.com or harsh@analyseindia.com

Those who have earlier subscribed can also use above links to renew

For any queries mail on nooreshtech@analyseindia.com

 

 

DISCLOSURE Nooresh Merani

SEBI Registration disclosure – Research Analyst INH000008075   Investment Adviser ( INA000002991)

Financial Interest:
Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts may have exposure in the securities mentioned in the above report/article.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts does not have any financial interest/beneficial ownership of more than 1% in the company covered by Analyst.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts have not received any compensation from the company/third party covered in the above report/article ever.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts has not served as an officer, director or employee of company covered in the report/article and has not been engaged in market making activity of the company covered in the report/article.

The views expressed are based solely on information available publicly and believed to be true. Investors are advised to independently evaluate the market conditions/risks involved before making any investment decision

Also read the detailed disclaimer - http://www.nooreshtech.co.in/disclaimer

Smallcap Charts – Allsec Technologies, Asian Granito,Birla Corp, Dalmia Bharat, Magma

Before I start the post.

Subscribe the Recent Research Report

Post 50000 Sensex Boom or Doom – Research Report For Rs 1999 

Nifty has made a strong reversal post Budget. Read this tweet -

Time to go Stock Specific.

 

ALLSEC TECHNOLOGIES - near a 2 year breakout 

Asian Granito - Another ceramic stock nearing a breakout. 

 

 

Birla Corporation - Close to a 2-3 year breakout. 

Dalmia Bharat - near 3 year highs. 

 

Magma Fincorp - Above 48-49

Please do your own research and risk management and read disclaimer . Consider stocks in above post as Educational.

 

Research Service 

Technical Traders Club 

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Half Yearly =           Rs 15340. ( Including GST ) 

Annual  =           Rs 25960 ( Including GST ) 

 

 

 

DISCLOSURE Nooresh Merani

SEBI Registration disclosure – Research Analyst INH000008075   Investment Adviser ( INA000002991)

Financial Interest:
Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts may have exposure in the securities mentioned in the above report/article.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts does not have any financial interest/beneficial ownership of more than 1% in the company covered by Analyst.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts have not received any compensation from the company/third party covered in the above report/article ever.

Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts has not served as an officer, director or employee of company covered in the report/article and has not been engaged in market making activity of the company covered in the report/article.

The views expressed are based solely on information available publicly and believed to be true. Investors are advised to independently evaluate the market conditions/risks involved before making any investment decision

Also read the detailed disclaimer - http://www.nooreshtech.co.in/disclaimer

 

Post 50000 Sensex Boom or Doom – Research Report

 

Before I start talking about the current report. Let me take you through a couple of older strategic reports.

  1. Post 8000 Boom or Doom. Sept 2005 

We had come out with a very interesting report in 2005 calling a long term Bull Market.

This report was done by Mr N S Fidai my me in our early days in the market.

The report talks about how a 13 year breakout happened in 2005. Sensex had reached 8k for the first time.

Can check the report on this link - QuickGains Post 8000 Boom or Doom. 

2) Indian Elections - Do they Change Trends in 2014. 

Similarly we came out with a detailed report in Indian Elections 2014.

Can check the report on this link - Indian Elections do they Change Trends 

In 2021 - We are again standing at a big Milestone on Indian Equity Markets. 

We come out with an interesting and detailed strategy report.

Sensex - Post 50000 Boom or Doom. 

  • Nifty , Nifty 500, Nifty 50 USD, Midcap and Smallcap Indices.
  • Earnings Surprise.
  • Sectoral Charts -
  • Large Cap Bets - Long Term Trends.
  • Midcap Bets - 3 interesting long term turnarounds.
  • Smallcaps - A Basket approach on a Cyclical Sector which is well placed for next 1-3 years.

Can subscribe it for Rs 1999

Instamojo Subscription Link 

https://www.instamojo.com/noooreshtech/sensex-post-50000-boom-or-doom/ 

 

( If any issues in downloading please mail to nooreshtech@analyseindia.com )

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Videos – Interesting Charts and Tata Group Companies Performance.

A couple of videos made by my team mate Harsh Doshi

 

Interesting Stock Charts 

Interesting Stock Charts to be kept on radar for coming weeks - Video Format

Stocks Covered :

Apcotex Canfinhomes Century Enka CESC DLF Eris Lifesciences Godrej Consumer Products
IGL Insecticides NAM India NIACL PVR Sheela Foam Limited Shalimar Paints

 

Performance of Tata companies over a period of last 15 years

 

Tata group is one of the biggest and oldest industrial groups in India.

Here's a quick video to see how the stocks of various Tata companies have fared over the last 15 years

Also one can measure the group performance by looking at an equal weighted index of all listed companies of Tata's

 

 

 

 

Announcement - Research Analyst 

We plan to launch a few Research Services in the coming weeks. ( I am an RIA too.)

Would love suggestions - nooreshtech@analyseindia.com

Research Analyst Approval.

 

 

Online Technical Analysis Video Course https://youtu.be/fJYX1TP0a6I

Subscription Link - https://imjo.in/jWW5cg   Rs 6000 1 year access.

Nifty Technical View – Top 7 Weights indicate a Consolidation.

Nifty Technical View. 

  • Nifty finally breaks the 1-3 day lows. Much needed given the one way move.
  • Such has been the move that it is still 1000 points plus from the last crack when Nifty dipped to 13200.
  • 13800-14050 is the major cluster of support to watch for below which momentum shifts down.
  • Above 14620 would imply the momentum is back up.

Nifty50 - A look through its constituents. 

Taking a look at the Top 7 constituents of the Nifty which is equivalent to 52% plus of the Nifty.

HDFC Bank - 10.7 % Weight in Nifty

  • Positive till it holds above 1440.
  • Hit a new all-time high yesterday when Nifty down.

Reliance Inds - 10.4% weight in Nifty 

  • A total underperformer in the Nifty move from 11600 to 14700
  • On verge of a triangle breakout above 1980-2000.
  • Can trigger a move to 2150+.

Infosys - 7.6% weight in Nifty 

  • Fills the Gap and showing some signs of exhaustion.
  • 1200-1250 retest is still a bit away.

HDFC Limited - 7.6% weight in Nifty 

  • Getting close to the retest of 2500.
  • Till it holds 2450-2500 looks positive.

ICICI Bank 6% weight in Nifty 

  • Reversing from previous highs.
  • Below 520 would be a short term breakdown.

TCS Limited - 5% Weight in Nifty 

  • Still holding strong and only a break below 3120-3150 would indicate some weakness.

Kotak Mahindra Bank - 4.9% Weight in Nifty 

  • In a short term downtrend.
  • 1750 a retest zone.

Conclusion 

  • Nifty has seen a pause a lot of constituents are still in strong uptrends and have not broken 3 day lows.
  • This divergence indicates we might be going into consolidation and not a quick crack on Nifty.
  • The Stock Specific moves could continue across broader markets but will get more selective.
  • As a short term trader its time to cut down trading size and be extremely selective.
  • As an investor one should continue to lookout for stock specific opportunities.

Announcement - Research Analyst 

We plan to launch a few Research Services in the coming weeks. ( I am an RIA too.)

Would love suggestions - nooreshtech@analyseindia.com

Research Analyst Approval.

 

 

Online Technical Analysis Video Course https://youtu.be/fJYX1TP0a6I

Subscription Link - https://imjo.in/jWW5cg   Rs 6000 1 year access.